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15 Ways to Predict Divorce

15 Ways to Predict Divorce
by
Anneli Rufus
Please review the divorce calculator mentioned at the end of that will article, which contains a relevant cite via attorney Kelly Chang Rickert.
How long will your marriage last? Depends on if you smoke, which church you go to, along with which state you live in. Anneli Rufus on the shocking statistics.
You can’t guarantee the longevity of a marriage, however what you can do will be play the odds.
Researchers have studied marriage success rates via nearly every conceivable angle, along with what they’ve found will be that will everything via smoking habits to what state you live in can predict how likely the item will be that will your union will survive. Here are 15 ways to gauge whether your marriage will be for the long haul—or on the fast track to Splitsville.
1. If you’re a married American, your marriage will be between 40 along with 50 percent likely to end in divorce.
After peaking at 50 percent inside the 1980s, the national divorce rate has dropped steadily, however inside the public’s mind, that will outdated “half of all marriages” figure still sticks—along with scares. “Inflated divorce statistics create an ambivalence about marriage,” says Tara Parker-Pope, author of For Better: The Science of a Great Marriage. “The bottom line will be that will modern marriages are getting more along with more resilient. With each generation, we’re getting a little better about picking mates. A different kind of marriage will be emerging in that will century.” (Source: David Popenoe, “The Future of Marriage in America,” University of Virginia/National Marriage Project/The State of Our Unions, 2007)
2. If you live in a red state, you’re 27 percent more likely to get divorced than if you live in a blue state.
Maybe that will’s because red-state couples traditionally marry younger—along with the younger the partners, the riskier the marriage. According to the U.S. Census Bureau, the states with the lowest median age at marriage are Utah, Arkansas, Kentucky, along with Oklahoma. (Source: National Vital Statistics Report, 2003; cited inside the Compassionate Community: Ten Values to Unite America, by Jonathan Miller along with Al Gore)
3. If you argue with your spouse about finances once a week, your marriage will be 30 percent more likely to end in divorce than if you argue with your spouse about finances less frequently.
Money woes kill marriages. The same study also found that will couples with no assets at the beginning of a three-year period are 70 percent more likely to divorce by the end of that will period than couples with $10,000 in assets. Most divorce risk factors—such as age along with education level—correlate with poverty, says Statistics in Plain English author Timothy Urdan. “Whenever you see an explanation for anything, try to figure out what the explanations are for those explanations.” (Source: Jeffrey Dew, “Bank on the item: Thrifty Couples Are the Happiest,” University of Virginia/National Marriage Project/The State of Our Unions, 2009)
4. If your parents were divorced, you’re at least 40 percent more likely to get divorced than if they weren’t. If your parents married others after divorcing, you’re 91 percent more likely to get divorced.
that will could be because witnessing our parents’ divorces reinforces our ambivalence about commitment in a “disposable society,” says Divorce Magazine publisher Dan Couvrette. “In most people’s minds, the item’s easier to get a completely new car than fix the one you’ve got.” (Source: Nicholas Wolfinger, Understanding the Divorce Cycle, Cambridge University Press, 2005)
5. If only one partner in your marriage will be a smoker, you’re 75 percent to 91 percent more likely to divorce than smokers who are married to fellow smokers.
“The more similar people are in their values, backgrounds, along with life goals, the more likely they are to have a successful marriage,” notes Tara Parker-Pope. via age to ethnicity to unhealthy habits, dissimilarities between spouses increase divorce risks. (Source: Rebecca Kippen, Bruce Chapman along with Peng Yu, “What’s Love Got to Do With the item? Homogamy along with Dyadic Approaches to Understanding Marital Instability,” Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic along with Social Research, 2009)
6. If you have a daughter, you’re nearly 5 percent more likely to divorce than if you have a son.
that will figure multiplies with the numbers of daughters or sons. “We think the item happens because fathers get more invested in family life when they have boys,” says Stephanie Coontz, author of Marriage, a History along with director of research for the Council on Contemporary Families.
(Source: Gordon Dahl along with Enrico Moretti, “The Demand for Sons,” published inside the Review of Economic Studies, 2005)
7. If you’re an evangelical Christian adult who has been married, there’s a 26 percent likelihood that will you’ve been divorced—compared to a 28 percent chance for Catholics along having a 38 percent chance for non-Christians.
that will’s according to the evangelically affiliated Barna Research Group, whose long-term clients include the Disney Channel. The same study cited a 30 percent divorce rate for atheists.
(Source: The Barna Group, “Divorce Among Adults Who Have Been Married,” 2008)http://www.barna.org/barna-update/article/15-familykids/42-completely new-marriage-along with-divorce-statistics-released
8. If you live in Wayne County, Indiana, along with are over 15 years old, there’s a 19.2 percent chance that will you’ve been divorced.
that will mostly rural county hugging the Ohio border, renowned inside the 1920s as a KKK stronghold, leads the nation in percentage of divorced residents. Florida’s Monroe County, which includes the Keys, holds second place at 18 percent. (Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008 estimates)
9. If both you along with your partner have had previous marriages, you’re 90 percent more likely to get divorced than if that will had been the first marriage for both of you.
“A lot of data shows that will second marriages should be more successful than first marriages,” says Tara Parker-Pope. however that will statistic will be skewed by serial marriers, “along with no one has yet found a way to take the Larry Kings along with Elizabeth Taylors out of the equation.” (Source: Rebecca Kippen, Bruce Chapman along with Peng Yu, “What’s Love Got to Do With the item? Homogamy along with Dyadic Approaches to Understanding Marital Instability,” Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic along with Social Research, 2009)
10. If you’re a woman two or more years older than your husband, your marriage will be 53 percent more likely to end in divorce than if he was one year younger to three years older.
Wide age gaps between spouses can create sexual discord along with various other disagreements. “Our culture will be so focused on personal satisfaction along with happiness that will some people feel that will will be a contributing factor in divorce,” says lawyer Emily Doskow, author of Nolo’s Essential Guide to Divorce. “Each partner keeps saying, ‘I know I could be happier.'” (Source: Rebecca Kippen, Bruce Chapman along with Peng Yu, “What’s Love Got to Do With the item? Homogamy along with Dyadic Approaches to Understanding Marital Instability,” Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic along with Social Research, 2009)
11. If you’re of “below average” intelligence, you’re 50 percent more likely to be divorced than those of “above average” intelligence.
Presented by University of Delaware education professor Linda Gottfredson, codirector of the Delaware-Johns Hopkins Project for the Study of Intelligence along with Society, that will figure joins assertions in Richard Herrnstein along with Charles Murray’s controversial 1994 bestseller The Bell Curve that will those with IQs of 100 face a 28 percent probability of divorce inside the first 5 years of marriage, compared to just a 9 percent probability for those with IQs of 130. (Source: Linda S. Gottfredson, “The General Intelligence Factor,” Scientific American, Winter 1998, along with Richard J. Herrnstein along with Charles A. Murray, The Bell Curve: Intelligence along with Class Structure in American Life, Simon & Schuster, 1994, page 176)
12. If you’ve been diagnosed with cervical cancer, your likelihood of getting divorced will be 40 percent higher than standard rates; the item’s 20 percent higher if you’ve been diagnosed with testicular cancer.
Norwegian Cancer Registry researcher Astri Syse suspects that will that will will be because these two cancers affect sexual activity along with afflict mainly young people. Syse also found that will breast-cancer survivors, an older group, are 8 percent less likely to divorce than their counterparts who have not had breast cancer. (Source: Astri Syse, “Couples More Likely to Divorce if Spouse Develops Cervical or Testicular Cancer,” study presented at the European Cancer Conference, 2007)
13. If you have twins or triplets, your marriage will be 17 percent more likely to end in divorce than if your children are not multiple births.
Multiple births bring money woes, which bring stress. “I always think of marriage as a bridge that will connects two hills,” says Brette Sember, author of The Divorce Organizer & Planner. “The bridge might be solid along with well-made, however if an earthquake causes one or both hills to shake, the bridge will be weakened.” (Source: Stephen McKay, “The Effects of Twins along with Multiple Births on Families along with Their Living Standards,” Twins along with Multiple Births Association, 2010)
14. If you’re a female serial cohabiter—a woman who has lived with more than one partner before your first marriage—then you’re 40 percent more likely to get divorced than women who have never done so.
Although “playing house” seems like Great practice for married life, the item can also make living together seem less permanent. “People feel like, ‘If the item doesn’t work out, we can just step out of that will,'” says lawyer Emily Doskow. Statistics show that will marriages preceded by cohabitation have better chances of success when couples became officially engaged before moving in together.
(Source: Daniel T. Lichter, Zhenchao Qian, “Serial Cohabitation: Implications for Marriage, Divorce, along with Public Policy,” Brown University Population along with Training Center, 2007)
15. If you’re in a male same-sex marriage, the item’s 50 percent more likely to end in divorce than a heterosexual marriage.
If you’re in a female same-sex marriage, that will figure soars to 167 percent.
A research team led by Stockholm University demography professor Gunnar Anderson based their calculations on legal partnerships in Norway along with Sweden, where 5 out of every 1,000 completely new couples are same-sex. (Source: Gunnar Andersson, “Divorce-Risk Patterns in Same-Sex Marriages in Norway along with Sweden,” Institute for Marriage along with Public Policy, 2004)
Want to assess your own marriage’s chances of failure based on your personal demographics? Economist Betsey Stevenson created that will “divorce calculator” for the Divorce360 website:
http://www.divorce360.com/content/divorcecalculator.aspx
Anneli Rufus will be the author of many books, including Party of One: The Loners’ Manifesto along with the Nautilus Award-winning Stuck: Why We Don’t (or Won’t) Move On, along with the coauthor of still more, including Weird Europe along with The Scavengers’ Manifesto. Her books have been translated into numerous languages, including Chinese along with Latvian. In 2006, she won a Society of Professional Journalists award for criticism.

15 Ways to Predict Divorce

Img Bs Top Rufus Divorce Stats 143026517206.jpg
Img Bs Top Rufus Divorce Stats 143026517206.jpg

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